Behavioural science has long emphasised the difficulty humans have with probability, with a range of biases or heuristics leading people to under- or overestimate the chances of something happening.
Even as a long-suffering Spurs wife and mother, I have to acknowledge that the Europa result was most probably an example of an event with mostly stochastic elements, but I'm not sure that *most* people think about climate/weather events in this way anymore. I think the barriers to taking action on the climate crisis are structural (political), and the feeling that individuals have no influence on events is not because we parcel them up as random events and don't believe they are connected, but more that we don't see a sufficient groundswell of other people/governments/countries doing the same. We are heading down a path of the climate crisis being an example of a deterministic trend of leaders (mostly) predictably making bad decisions.
Even as a long-suffering Spurs wife and mother, I have to acknowledge that the Europa result was most probably an example of an event with mostly stochastic elements, but I'm not sure that *most* people think about climate/weather events in this way anymore. I think the barriers to taking action on the climate crisis are structural (political), and the feeling that individuals have no influence on events is not because we parcel them up as random events and don't believe they are connected, but more that we don't see a sufficient groundswell of other people/governments/countries doing the same. We are heading down a path of the climate crisis being an example of a deterministic trend of leaders (mostly) predictably making bad decisions.